We almost through the whole Oscar predictions! We're finishing it off with some tight races, with several potential winners, causing a stir amongst the print and online oddsmakers. Let's start with the most exciting and unpredictable award in years. Just to clarify (SMH), "My Pick" is my favorite, not what I would predict.
Best Director:
Two-time winner Steven Spielberg seemed poised to be just the fourth director to win a third Oscar for the category, but not so fast. Ben Affleck took the DGA top honor, which means that for only the seventh time in history, the DGA and Oscar winner will not be the same. At the time of the announcing of the nominations, Lincoln received the most, and was expected to sweep. Now, it seems that voters are gravitating toward other films, especially when Lincoln is already a favorite in other major awards. What we know is this, Michael Hanake will probably win for Foreign Film, and perhaps also screenplay. Ben Zietlin has never even made another feature, and has a long career to win an Oscar. So that leaves Ang Lee, who directed the film that I believe will win the most awards due to the amount of love the film has gotten. David O. Russell is backed by Dr. Harvey Weinstein, and can easily surprise everyone in the room on Oscar night. With the press he's gotten in Hollywood, many voters are gravitating toward Russell, but I'm actually going to go with my original theme (read my previous articles to know this is not just a fave-pick), in that Life of Pi is going to come out with a surprising amount of awards. This would certainly be a surprise.
Winner: Life of Pi
My Pick: Life of PI
Best Original Screenplay:
This category is not really all that complicated. The Vegas guys got it right, predicting a walkover for Tarantino, despite Mark Boal winning his second WGA award for original screenplay. Again, if a film gets amazing press like Django, it's likely to win the Oscar. Zero Dark Thirty has some good press, some bad, Django just had some hate from Spike Lee. Oh, and it won the Globe, which doesn't split the award into adapted and original. If it was me filling out your book sheet, I wouldn't over think this one.
Winner: Django Unchained
My Pick: Amour
Best Adapted Screenplay:
The other tightest race ever. Argo is the favorite to win Best Picture, and had also won the WGA award, but can it take this one down as well? If Spielberg doesn't win Best Director, you may expect to see his film Lincoln take down this category as well. I know Argo is the favorite, but it's much more likely that Silver Linings Playbook, again back by Weinstein (so it's not about if it will win awards but how many), or Lincoln, which has been praised all year for it's subtle script.
Winner: Lincoln
My Pick: Life of Pi
Best Animated Feature:
This is a toss-up between Wreck-It Ralph and Frankenweenie. I honestly have no idea how this one will go, but the Producer's Guild gave their animated award to Wreck-It Ralph, and that happens to be the only one I've seen. If you want to pick another one, then go with Frankenweenie.
Winner: Wreck-It Ralph
My Pick: Wreck-It Ralph
Best Documentary Feature:
This one is actually tougher than it looks. Searching for Sugar Man was the most popular, and the most viewed. But voters in this category will reach to see all of the nominated awards, the rest of which are available on DVD already. Look for a potential upset from the stunning The Invisible War, but that's just a fave-pick, maybe.
Winner: Searching for Sugar Man
My Pick: The Invisible War
Best Foreign Language Film:
Normally the most impossible category to predict, even when a film seems like a lock. This award, throughout the years, has gone to films on the verge of release at the time of the awards, in order to generate press for the film. The most recent release is Canada's War Witch, which could be a surprise to, what seems like a lock in Best Picture nominee Amour. But rarely if a foreign film is nominated for Best Picture and Best Foreign Language Film does it lose the latter.
Winner: Amour
My PicK: Amour
And we've almost come to a complete end, I'll discuss Best Picture in the last post!
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