Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Final Oscar Predictions- Music and Shorts


Well, here we are.  With just a few days to go in the award season, the Oscar final voting is closed and they're tallying the votes as we speak.  Now is the time where all the Oscar buffs pick their favorites and winners, and we all get to see how many drugs they're on.

Luckily I skipped the crack this year because, as it happens, there are several really good races to look forward to.  but while everyone is talking about who will win Best Director or Best Supporting Actor, I'm just sitting here thinking, what if Argo becomes the first film in almost 75 years to win Best Picture and nothing else!!

Hope you've seen all of the movies, if not you still have four days, so get out there!  And yes you can skip the Spirit Awards to go to the movies, unless you're a complete hipster gauffing at this article, in which case you probably will never see all the movies anyway (but keep RedBoxing away).

Anyway, let's just get through this, I'm doing this in parts, starting with the shorts and music.

Best Documentary Short:

It's a shame nobody EVER watches the docu shorts.  NO ONE.  So, I don't know how the Vegas odds makers pick a favorite.  I guess it would be most available, because who is really going to vote for something they don't see?
Check out the big favorite Open Heart right here:
http://openheartfilm.com
Winner: Open Heart


Best Live Action Short:

So there is one crazy oddsmaker that's saying Curfew is a lock.  One thing you have to realize, however, is that there are no locks.  So if you get a chance to get 4 to 1 on Death of a Shadow, I can safely say you have correct odds.  But still, if it's all even money go with the "favorite."
Check out the film here:
http://curfewfilm.com
Winner: Curfew


Best Animated Short:

This category is so bloated.  Everyone who saw Wreck it Ralph saw Paperman at the beginning.  It was sweet, but obvious things rarely win for the smaller categories.  My pick is The Simpsons short, and the reason is not because I'm drunk.  The Simpsons is one of the all-time great shows, a favorite amongst the leftist Hollywood crowd, even through they would never have time to watch it (case and point on it's ratings declining).  So why not honor it?  The press would be fantastic for the show at best, and at worst, they would be giving beloved creators a prize they would only dream of getting.
Winner: Maggie Simpson in The Longest Day Care.


Best Original Song:

Adele seems to be a walkover.  When voters are filling out the ballots, they may be thinking, "oh, what if we gave Seth an Oscar, and he's hosting!!"  and then they will all collectively say, "but, Adele."  She's just one you can't eff with.
Winner: "Skyfall" from Skyfall


Best Original Score:

This is the first real race we have.  Honestly, it depends on how voters feel about the film, and therefore, Argo would be in the discussion, given that multiple nominee Alexandre Desplat has never won.  But I have a feeling we're going to have more than a little love for Life of Pi on Sunday, so all of my upsets are probably going to go to that.
Winner: Life of Pi- Mychael Danna.

My next post is tomorrow, we'll tackle ALL of the technical categories.

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