So, does anyone still care (besides me) what will be nominated? If you're looking at the trades this early, the only thing you look for is previous winners and nominees' new work. A few obvious standouts include:
Steven Spielberg- Nominated for Best Picture last year, he has got the biggest and most publicized epic of the upcoming award season. Honestly, biopics are not "the business" when it comes to picking potential Best Pictures, and thus are questionable as potential nominees, but Lincoln has multiple Oscar winners and is slated to make a good deal of money on it's investments, something the Producers will always eat up.
Quentin Tarantino- Django Unchained has the makings of another Oscar run for Quentin, with his old formula and new crowd of former Oscar winners and nominees (some old). The only question is, how much do people still care about the hyper-violent a-typical Tarantino?
Paul Thomas Anderson- The Master was the penultimate in overacting, a mild average rating and not a lot of money will probably mean it will be shut out of most categories.
Ang Lee- Life of Pi looks bomb. Hugely popular novel, but fantasy doesn't seem to always do well. It will have to get miraculous reception from critics and audiences, and probably need a lot of campaigning.
Ditto for The Hobbit, despite it's predecessors.
Robert Zemeckis- He has Flight coming out, and after watching the trailer, I think it may have a chance if it brings something truly different that separates itself from the other Denzel Washington movies of the last 20 years. It may be a surprise.
Recent Winners Tom Hooper (Les Miserables), Kathryne Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty) and the Coen Brothers (Inside Llewyn Davis) have all received mild attention, and should be under the scope as they're released in the next couple months.
The Wachowski's could have made a film like "When Larry Became Lana," (seriously an amazing story if you haven't heard about it), but instead did a crazy, high budget epic, and the first film from the siblings since those hilarious Matrix sequels. The jury is out on Cloud Atlas until it's seen.
The wrap- Argo was not a masterpiece, but was pretty good and could sneak into a few categories in what seems like a weak year. Joe Wright adapted Anna Karenina again in an ever-persistent attempt to turn world movie culture from it's ways of consistently adapting comic books to re-adapt 18th and 19th century classic novels for the 5th and 6th times. Let's see how much the Oscars get behind it.
And as for Silent Hill 3D? Let me sleep on it...
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